![]() non-stealth, or rather low detectability): Gen 5 sees Gen 4 first, shoots multiple missiles, Gen 4 takes losses before they can counter attack -> Gen 4 retreats / is out of the fight (no dogfight) or Gen 4 is cought, numerically superior, closes in with Gen 5 and you have a dogfight Stealth, and I am not a real proponent of that and still have to see the advantage it gives you, means one of the following scenarios will happen (assuming near peer adversaries): Vietnam caused the creation of Top Gun, when the Navy realized their pilots were not up to par in airial combat. To the point fighter jets didn't get cannons anymore. The reason nobody has airial superiority is somewhat similar, near equal tech, decent air defence and comparable numbers.Īs far as dogfights are concerned, they were declared dead prior to Vietnam. ![]() The reason tanks get destroyed left and right in Ukraine is a combination of bad docteine / tactics and deployment, the use of quasi obsolete models and the large scale use of last gen anti-tank weapons. A drone, or cruise missile, can take a ground target, a missile can take out aircraft, but they cannot replace their roles. Or not.Ī Javelin can take out a tank, but not replace it. And all major powers are only developing new generation fighters, bombers and tanks to keep the military-industrial complex busy. Yeah, aircraft are as obsolete as tanks, the Ukrainian War showed us as much. If you can destroy a target by sending an autonomous drone that travels 1700km, which costs less than a fraction of one sortie of an aircraft, leave aside the cost of aircraft, its armament and pilot training, it means that drones rule warfare now. ![]() Which is still difficult to do and yet to be done because miniaturization is difficult.Īircraft are old news. The only way to deal with this will be miniaturization of warfare, ie creation of mini drones and mini missiles to hunt drones. If they cant or dont, you hit all the targets. If they can destroy them, they go bankrupt due to missile costs. So that at this point you could bankrupt an enemy by just sending drones. The drones can travel 1700 km autonomously, very hard to jam, and they are cheaper than the missiles that are used to shoot them. ![]() The Iranian drones' amazing performance in Ukraine shows that warfare has changed forever. Unfortunately the circumstances where this is useful is very limited.Įven worse: Advancing missile technology has mostly invalidated the need for aircraft in a major war since a long while, and drones will literally sweep what's left of it. ![]()
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